Well, I haven’t finished linking/posting Shadow’s Embrace decklists yet, but why should that stop us from looking at the relatively small data-set formed by the Seeds of Decay tournament scene so far. There have been around 15 tournaments, but between small tourney size and less-than-complete reporting, the data so far still doesn’t even amount to 300 players (although we’ll relatively quickly hit the numbers for at least the fragmented pre/post errata TSE environment breakdowns).
Seeds of Decay | ||||||
Players | % of Field | Made Cut | Won | % Made Cut | Relative Chance of Making Cut | |
Crab | 42 | 14.1% | 10 | 4 | 23.8% | 22.9% |
Crane | 30 | 10.1% | 5 | 16.7% | -13.9% | |
Dragon | 27 | 9.1% | 5 | 1 | 18.5% | -4.4% |
Lion | 34 | 11.4% | 6 | 1 | 17.6% | -8.9% |
Mantis | 37 | 12.4% | 14 | 2 | 37.8% | 95.4% |
Phoenix | 38 | 12.8% | 8 | 1 | 21.1% | 8.7% |
Scorpion | 35 | 11.7% | 6 | 2 | 17.1% | -11.5% |
Spider | 25 | 8.4% | 2 | 8.0% | -58.7% | |
Unicorn | 22 | 7.4% | 3 | 1 | 13.6% | -29.6% |
Unaligned | 8 | 2.7% | 1 | 12.5% | ||
298 | 60 | 20.3% |
Make the Cut Rankings
1) Mantis – 38%
2) Crab – 24%
3) Phoenix – 21%
AVERAGE PER CLAN – 19%
4) Dragon – 19%
5) Lion – 18%
6) Scorpion – 17%
7) Crane – 17%
8 ) Unicorn – 14%
8a) Unaligned – 13%
9) Spider – 8%
If you’re curious – yeah, the Seeds environment so far is pretty imbalanced. Keep in mind that one sizable tournament can really tilt things with this size of a data set – the Scorpion’s fortunes, for example, looked vastly bleaker before the PacRim Championships.
What in the world is Mantis playing that’s getting them that high of a chance to make the cut?
I’ve seen Pokémon and Aramasu’s Legacy and stuff out of Kalani’s Landing.
KK is only really weak to an honor-heavy field, and Aramasu’s Legacy is extremely strong against Yasuki and other midgame decks. KL with the port scheme is pretty nasty, too.