Clan Tourney Success in Spring Kotei Season 2015 #12

We’re back and, since I know folks have been asking, it’s time for your Legend of the Five Rings statistics drop (stay tuned for a Cypher System Rulebook review). A big pile of extra data this time. Because there was no update last week, there are two weekends worth of data this time, and each of those two weekends had four Kotei. Additionally, I got the data for the Madrid Kotei three weekends ago, and that is now included. Note that, in keeping with longstanding policy, the Kotei that deviated (with permission from AEG) from the normal floor rules is included in the data based on who would have made the cut under the normal system (so the two 3-2 players who made the cut are not included in the ‘make the cut’ data).

So, what has changed with all that data (remember that even though it’s a relatively large amount of data for a single update, the fact that there was already most of the season included already makes it harder to move the needle)? Dragon didn’t get better at making the cut, but picked up two more wins. Scorpion have continued to slide in their rate of making the cut, although that still leaves them in the middle of the pack. The overall environment slipped a bit in its overall balance rating (that’s the 0.20 in the bottom right corner – lower is better), although it’s still good.

20F Arc
Players % of Field Made Cut Won % Made Cut Relative Chance of Making Cut*
Crab 107 9.1% 23 3 21.5% 1.05
Crane 139 11.8% 25 5 18.0% 0.87
Dragon 131 11.1% 21 3 16.0% 0.78
Lion 131 11.1% 23 1 17.6% 0.85
Mantis 133 11.3% 39 11 29.3% 1.43
Phoenix 139 11.8% 39 2 28.1% 1.36
Scorpion 122 10.3% 23 5 18.9% 0.92
Spider 150 12.7% 21 2 14.0% 0.68
Unicorn 129 10.9% 28 4 21.7% 1.06
1181 242 36 20.5% 0.20

* How likely the clan is to make the cut as compared to the average clan, normalized so that 1.00 = average.

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Make the Cut Rankings
1: Mantis – 29%
2: Phoenix – 28%
3: Unicorn – 22%
4: Crab – 22%
AVERAGE (per Clan) – 21%
5: Scorpion – 19%
6: Crane – 18%
7: Lion – 18%
8: Dragon – 16%
9: Spider – 14%

One thought on “Clan Tourney Success in Spring Kotei Season 2015 #12

  1. That’s a two rank drop for Crane. Quite a nasty fall for us “power blue” fans. 🙁 But yeah, all in all, I have to agree the environment looks very reasonably balanced for the first time in a long while.

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