Clan Tourney Success in Kotei Season 2014 #6

We had our first post-errata results this weekend, and eventually I’ll do these posts with two charts, one for the environment overall and one for post-errata, but I’m going to skip the post-errata chart for now because it’s literally two Kotei, and only moderately sized ones (there was supposed to be the Moscow Kotei this weekend, but as of when I’m typing this they haven’t posted any information). I know I post some small sample sizes, but 84 players is really not enough.

Ivory Edition
Players % of Field Made Cut Won % Made Cut Relative Chance of Making Cut
Crab 95 9.2% 17 17.9% 0.77
Crane 185 17.8% 76 14 41.1% 1.76
Dragon 117 12.6% 31 1 26.5% 1.14
Lion 131 12.6% 28 4 21.4% 0.92
Mantis 100 9.6% 16 16.0% 0.69
Phoenix 88 8.5% 13 14.8% 0.63
Scorpion 121 11.7% 31 3 25.6% 1.10
Spider 84 8.1% 16 19.0% 0.82
Unicorn 116 11.2% 32 3 27.6% 1.18
1037 260 25.1%

Make the Cut % Rankings
1 ) Crane – 41%
2 ) Unicorn – 28%
3 ) Dragon – 26%
4 ) Scorpion – 26%
AVERAGE (per clan) – 23%
5 ) Lion – 21%
6 ) Spider – 19%
7 ) Crab – 18%
8 ) Mantis – 16%
9 ) Phoenix – 15%

As is now usual, below you can find tallies of the information publicly available and super-simplistic projections for the Renewal storyline event.

Players Awards Total Projected
Crab 95 27 122 307
Crane 185 231 416 1048
Dragon 107 50 167 421
Lion 131 71 202 509
Mantis 100 21 121 305
Phoenix 88 21 109 275
Scorpion 121 72 193 486
Spider 84 33 117 295
Unicorn 116 69 185 466

We finally had a second Clan (Lion, after Crane) projected to hit the 500 point mark (that being the place where, at least to me, the story prizes get really interesting). The Scorpion advanced towards that mark, while the Unicorn regressed a bit.

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