Shadow’s Embrace Meta-Game Update #1

At long last, some sort of meta-game analysis for the Shadow’s Embrace environment. If you listened to our first GenCon 2012 episode, you may recall that the weekend had some rough spots for me, and so I didn’t grab any real data on those tournaments. I figured that I’d just skip over the pre-errata part of the environment, and go the post-errata part of the environment, because I at least have all of the public data on that. But reviewing the data I actually still have (barely) more data points for the pre-errata environment, even with GenCon not counting.

So below here’s the 4-1-1 on both the pre- and post-errata environments. Remember that, even though we’re almost done with the TSE environment, each of these subdivisions of that environment is not exactly a gigantic sample size (even added together, it’s only 2/3 of the Embers of War sample size). Unlike Kotei season, tournament reporting can be really sporadic during the rest of the year and attendence seems pretty weak across the board this fall, which generates fewer data points.

Note: the final percentage figure in each chart is the raw average of making the cut on a per-player basis.

Shadows Embrace (pre-errata)
Players % of Field Made Cut Won % Made Cut
Crab 48 13.9% 9 3 18.8%
Crane 31 9.0% 6 1 19.4%
Dragon 38 11.0% 7 1 18.4%
Lion 35 10.1% 11 3 31.4%
Mantis 44 12.8% 11 3 25.0%
Phoenix 44 12.8% 15 7 34.1%
Scorpion 42 12.2% 10 2 23.8%
Spider 21 6.1% 5 23.8%
Unicorn 36 10.4% 8 4 22.2%
Unaligned 6 1.7% 1 16.7%
345 83 24.2%

1) Phoenix
2) Lion
3) Mantis
4a) Scorpion
4b) Spider
6) Unicorn
7) Crane
8 ) Crab
9) Dragon
10) Unaligned

Shadows Embrace (post-errata)
Players % of Field Made Cut Won % Made Cut
Crab 54 15.7% 16 3 29.6%
Crane 33 9.6% 7 2 21.2%
Dragon 32 9.3% 9 1 28.1%
Lion 44 12.8% 11 1 25.0%
Mantis 34 9.9% 6 1 17.6%
Phoenix 44 12.8% 13 2 29.5%
Scorpion 35 10.2% 5 14.3%
Spider 28 8.2% 3 10.7%
Unicorn 25 7.3% 8 32.0%
Unaligned 14 4.1% 4 1 28.6%
343 82 23.7%

1) Unicorn
2) Crab
3) Phoenix
4) Unaligned
5) Dragon
6) Lion
7) Crane
8 ) Mantis
9) Scorpion
10) Spider

Shadows Embrace (full environment)
Players % of Field Made Cut Won % Made Cut
Crab 102 14.8% 25 6 24.5%
Crane 64 9.3% 13 3 20.3%
Dragon 70 10.2% 16 2 22.9%
Lion 79 11.5% 22 4 27.8%
Mantis 78 11.3% 17 4 21.8%
Phoenix 88 12.8% 28 9 31.8%
Scorpion 77 11.2% 15 2 19.5%
Spider 49 7.1% 8 0 16.3%
Unicorn 61 8.9% 16 4 26.2%
Unaligned 20 2.9% 5 1 25.0%
688 165 23.9%

1) Phoenix
2) Lion
3) Unicorn
4) Unaligned
5) Crab
6) Dragon
7) Mantis
8 ) Crane
9) Scorpion
10) Spider

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