Clan Tourney Success in Kotei Season 2014 #5

Presumably the last weekend of Crane, given that the errata to the Sensei and Stronghold go into effect before the next set of Kotei, and they did not disappoint, taking six of the eight tournaments this weekend to finish with 13 wins out of 23 Kotei.

Results below include seven of the eight Kotei from last weekend, since I don’t have the field for the Athens Kotei. Even without that one, we see a big increase in the number of data points, with those seven Kotei counting for 40% of the total number of players so far.

A double-edged rebound for Crab, with a relatively small number of total players still making the cut – so a nice pick-me-up for their rate of making the cut, but not much attendance help in the Renewal storyline event.

Ivory Edition
Players % of Field Made Cut Won % Made Cut Relative Chance of Making Cut
Crab 80 8.9% 12 15.0% 0.70
Crane 165 18.4% 69 13 41.8% 1.94
Dragon 101 11.2% 24 1 23.8% 1.10
Lion 113 12.6% 23 3 20.4% 0.94
Mantis 86 9.6% 10 11.6% 0.54
Phoenix 81 9.0% 11 13.6% 0.63
Scorpion 98 10.9% 25 3 25.5% 1.18
Spider 76 8.5% 13 17.1% 0.79
Unicorn 99 11.0% 25 3 25.3% 1.17
899 212 23.6% 0.31

Make the Cut % Rankings
1 ) Crane – 42%
2 ) Scorpion – 26%
3 ) Unicorn – 25%
4 ) Dragon – 24%
AVERAGE (per clan) – 22%
5 ) Lion – 21%
6 ) Spider – 17%
7 ) Crab – 15%
8 ) Phoenix – 14%
9 ) Mantis – 12%

As is now usual, below you can find incomplete tallies and super-simplistic projections for the Renewal storyline event. Missing data includes some specific information form Portland, the Szczecin honor winner, the T8 points for Athens, and all of the Philippines information except the T4. So we’re going to call that 22 Kotei worth of data, instead of 23, and project from there.

Players Awards Total Projected
Crab 80 20 100 286
Crane 165 208 373 1068
Dragon 101 43 144 412
Lion 113 59 172 493
Mantis 86 21 107 306
Phoenix 81 21 102 292
Scorpion 98 63 161 461
Spider 76 32 108 309
Unicorn 99 65 164 470

Most noteworthy variation here, at least to me, is that we’ve got two Clans (Lion, Unicorn) actually moving towards the 500 point mark as tournament attendance picks up (despite several of the Kotei from this weekend being traditionally smaller ones). Now you Dragon players just need to get out there and rack up some more participation and honor events, because I am going to be one sad, sad panda if we don’t hit 500.

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